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Live evidence, stored memory, and possible market implications.
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themes
Co-packaged optics, optical I/O, silicon photonics, packaging, and AI rack interconnect.
StatusactiveCPO / Optical I/O is active through weak related; current evidence remains distinct from verified thesis-changing production proof unless primary support appears.
Key memory: 1 condition / 1 thesis cell.CPO evidence type: weak relatedLatest trigger: weak or generic optical chatter related to CPO watchlist.
Open full theme pageAI switch ASICs, Ethernet fabrics, custom silicon, optical networking, and rack-scale network bottlenecks.
StatusactiveAI Networking / Switch ASICs is active with 9 meaningful evidence items and 0 memory connections.
Key memory: 1 condition / 1 thesis cell.Latest trigger: CPO / Optical I/O involving LPTH. matched stored memory
Open full theme pageCoWoS, EMIB, substrates, interposers, chiplets, advanced packaging capacity, yield, and thermals.
StatusactiveCoWoS / Advanced Packaging is active through packaging or CPO-adjacent evidence; verify whether it is primary support or social-source only.
Key memory: 1 condition / 1 thesis cell.Latest trigger: CPO / Optical I/O involving LPTH. matched stored memory
Open full theme pageHBM, LPDDR, DRAM, accelerator-memory intensity, and AI memory supply chains.
StatusactiveHBM / AI Memory is active with 3 meaningful evidence items and 3 memory connections.
Key memory: 2 active HBM/memory conditions and 1 thesis cell.Latest trigger: CPO / Optical I/O involving LPTH. matched stored memory
Open full theme pageAI compute infrastructure, accelerators, hyperscaler capex, custom silicon, and supply-chain constraints.
StatusquietAI Infrastructure is active with 2 meaningful evidence items and 0 memory connections.
Key memory: 1 condition / 1 thesis cell.Latest trigger: AI Infrastructure involving MRVL, NVDA, CIEN, AAOI. matched stored memory
Open full theme pagePower, cooling, grid, gas, nuclear, data-center capacity, and AI infrastructure buildout.
StatusquietAI Power / Data Centers is quiet in the current live window.
Key memory: no active condition or thesis attached yet.No meaningful live trigger in this window.
Open full theme pagePower, cooling, grid, gas, nuclear, data-center capacity, and AI infrastructure buildout.
StatusquietPower Semiconductors / SiC is quiet in the current live window.
Key memory: no active condition or thesis attached yet.No meaningful live trigger in this window.
Open full theme pageEnergy infrastructure, nuclear, gas, grid availability, and power scarcity for compute.
StatusquietEnergy / Nuclear / Gas is quiet in the current live window.
Key memory: no active condition or thesis attached yet.No meaningful live trigger in this window.
Open full theme pageAgent platforms, orchestration, inference software, developer tooling, and automation infrastructure.
StatusquietAgentic Software / Infrastructure is quiet in the current live window.
Key memory: no active condition or thesis attached yet.No meaningful live trigger in this window.
Open full theme pageevidence
@Zachary6519291 Yes, unfortunately it is the case when $SPCX is surging, but I think when the market stops chasing SPCX and its movement gets pinned. Then people would buy $SATS as it's so cheap.
Shown because it matched stored memoryTalked to a few friends and agreed $SPCX’s maximum price might be $230 in the next few months. As a private market investor whose shares are all locked up, I would have to add lots of 6 months put hedges(or butterfly) above $200. Also long $SATS to bet the NAV catch up play.
Shown because it matched stored memory@AntonLaVay Oh I see, you meant $SPCX Yes planning to add hedge and also long $SATS to close the valuation gap. SATS should be valued at $220 now given $SPCX’s current price
Shown because it matched stored memoryRT @OptimusDelta: $LPTH - A job board tells you everything you need to know about what's happening inside a company. Supply Chain Director Urgent. 10+ years manufacturing supply chain experience required. Responsibilities include "assess supplier stability, manage supply chain risks, implement contingency plans" and "negotiate long-term partnerships." Inbound demand is straining what they can currently source and deliver. G5 Infrared Director of Operations Urgent. Covering thin film production, camera production, ...
Shown because it matched stored memory$SNDK is up 237% since Citron Capital shorted it. Andrew Left (Citron Capital founder) deserves an extra 25 years on his jail sentence for that alone.
Shown because it matched stored memory@KawzInvests I’m so deep on MRVL
Shown because it matched stored memory$MRVL joins the S&P 500 on June 22. It is already up 75% in the past month before a single index fund has bought a share. Matt Murphy on the Q1 call: "We are seeing exceptional AI-related bookings, and as a result, we are significantly raising Marvell's revenue outlook for both fiscal 2027 and fiscal 2028." Q1 revenue came in at $2.418B, up 28% year-over-year. Q2 guided to $2.7B at the midpoint, 35% year-over-year growth. Operating cash flow hit a record $638M in a single quarter. Marvell sits at the physical laye...
Shown because it matched stored memoryRT @Frenchie_: Le stack photonique du moment est vraiment en train d’exploser Voici les actions que je possède concernant l’optique et pourquoi : > $LITE Lumentum est l’un des plays les plus directs sur les lasers optiques pour data centers IA. La demande en 800G, 1.6T puis 3.2T pousse les hyperscalers à acheter massivement des composants optiques. Si les clusters IA continuent de grossir, les lasers deviennent un bottleneck. > $CIEN Ciena est le play réseau optique longue distance/data center interconnect Plus le...
Shown because it matched stored memoryL’action la plus intéressante sur PEA ? Pour moi il s’agit de STMielectronics Mais pourquoi le marché commence-t-il à la rerater ? Parce qu’en Europe, il existe un besoin croissant de souveraineté dans : >Les semi-conducteurs >L’IA >La robotique >Le spatial >La défense >Les véhicules électriques Et $STM se retrouve au croisement de tous ces thèmes Son exposition actuelle est délirante : >MCU et microcontrôleurs industriels >Puces automobiles >SiC pour véhicules électriques >Photonique sur silicium >Robotique et ed...
Shown because it matched stored memoryLIVE TALKING ABOUT $SPCX
Shown because it matched stored memoryGood commentary / DD on $ERII 🎯
Shown because it matched stored memoryRT @IntelJapan: Performance where you need it Delivering power efficiency and performance to accelerate AI at the edge, Intel Xeon 6 SoCs deliver more capacity with fewer cores and include media accelerators to streamline video and content delivery. See why next-generation communications and security can be achieved at the edge. For details, please refer to the reply ⬇️
Shown because it matched stored memory$SPCX overtakes $TSM to become the 6th largest company globally at $2.41 trillion. Only 10% to overtake $AMZN ... What an incredibly successful IPO.
Shown because it matched stored memory@ren_stocks est il le prochain Serenity ? La première fois qu’on a parlé y’a 3 mois, il avait 250 followers et il était super concentré sur son job Maintenant ses métriques ont vraiment troué le plafond et surtout Le mec a pas été sur un narratif, il a ridé l’ensemble des narratifs et hyper early >Memory +1400% sur $SNDK >Photonics +2900% sur $SIVE >Souveraineté (Intel, Dell) Capter un narratif au bon moment, ça arrive à tout le monde une fois. Les enchaîner, c’est plus de la chance c’est une lecture hyper poussée...
Shown because it matched stored memory$SPCX va sur la lune mais sans fusée
Shown because it matched stored memoryRT @intelfabs: Intel just got one of the worst smear jobs I've ever seen. $INTC Smaller M0 pitch doesnt mean better node. Intel 18A isn’t about winning a one-layer pitch screenshot It’s about RibbonFET + PowerVia. PowerVia moves power delivery to the backside, freeing front-side routing and improving cell utilization. Panther Lake is Intel’s first client SoC on that node. SMIC’s metric is interesting, but I hope people will read more than just the title. One local metal pitch doesn’t outweigh transistor architectu...
Shown because it matched stored memoryRT @Tentenwiins: HIGHER $PURR
Shown because it matched stored memorymemory
ideas
Prior memory framed Intel as the only credible rack-scale CPO winner. If this new evidence is true co-packaged optics around AI switches or adjacent compute integration, it may widen the winner map beyond Intel and create a memory collision worth reviewing.
Prior memory framed Intel as the only credible rack-scale CPO winner. If this new evidence is true co-packaged optics around AI switches or adjacent compute integration, it may widen the winner map beyond Intel and create a memory collision worth reviewing. Clarification on 2026-06-15 says the claim may be pluggable optics rather than true co-packaged optics, which weakens the earlier idea until stronger proof appears.
The new evidence is not full CPO proof yet, but it suggests the bottleneck may move from pure optical components toward packaging process innovation outside the Intel-only path. That could eventually change the winner map if paired with real customer deployment.
The new evidence clarifies that the claimed product may be pluggable or linear-pluggable optics rather than true co-packaged optics. That weakens the earlier new-entrant idea and keeps the Intel-only CPO thesis alive unless stronger contrary evidence appears.
The new evidence is CPO-adjacent ecosystem or component chatter. It can matter for the CPO watchlist, but it does not yet prove a non-Intel true co-packaged optics platform that challenges the stored Intel-only thesis.
research
Claim indicates that if memory demand becomes structural, it could impact major incumbents, potentially activating the thesis surrounding HBM scarcity decline.
The new evidence clarifies that the claimed product may be pluggable or linear-pluggable optics rather than true co-packaged optics. That weakens the earlier new-entrant idea and keeps the Intel-only CPO thesis alive unless stronger contrary evidence appears.
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setups
Merchant acquirers are the new comm equipment. Just don't. At any price. Save yourself the brain damage $FISV maybe they should change their ticker again
$SIVE is the next SIVE. Don’t think you’ll find another company. That’s qualified and likely primary/sole source with: - $JBL and other pluggable hyperscaler suppliers - Ayar and the $NVDA NVLink CPO ecosystems While being the foundational reference laser for $GFS and pluggable/CPO/NPO deployments. That hyperscalers like $AMD and others use, at current valuations. Even $POET buys $SIVE lasers and Poet is about the same valuation just off having one $50m purchase agreement. Amount of hyperscaler
L’action la plus intéressante sur PEA ? Pour moi il s’agit de STMielectronics Mais pourquoi le marché commence-t-il à la rerater ? Parce qu’en Europe, il existe un besoin croissant de souveraineté dans : >Les semi-conducteurs >L’IA >La robotique >Le spatial >La défense >Les véhicules électriques Et $STM se retrouve au croisement de tous ces thèmes Son exposition actuelle est délirante : >MCU et microcontrôleurs industriels >Puces automobiles >SiC pour véhicules électriques >Photonique sur silici
RT @OptimusDelta: $LPTH - A job board tells you everything you need to know about what's happening inside a company. Supply Chain Director Urgent. 10+ years manufacturing supply chain experience required. Responsibilities include "assess supplier stability, manage supply chain risks, implement contingency plans" and "negotiate long-term partnerships." Inbound demand is straining what they can currently source and deliver. G5 Infrared Director of Operations Urgent. Covering thin film production,
RT @hansolar21: Key events I’m watching into the end of June Mon–Wed: Sam Altman and Dario Amodei expected to join G7 AI discussions Tue–Wed: FOMC Tue–Thu: Jensen Huang speaking at GTC Paris Thu: Quad witching Fri: US Market holiday Next Mon: $MRVL joins S&P 500, $NBIS + $CRWV join Nasdaq-100 Next Wed: $Nvidia shareholder meeting Next week: Micron earnings Also watching the MSTR complex: $STRC’s last monthly dividend cycle hits this month, with semi-monthly dividends starting after June 30. Gonn
$MRLN Suddenly this name is not interesting anymore because of lacklustre price action. I admit, my position is bleeding now. The thesis has not changed and has in fact gotten materially better with the news that it announced 2 weeks back. I have been slowly accumulating shares around the $6.50 - $7.50 level, with more buys at $6.50 as it bounced there previously. It's only a matter of time imo. This the next one after $IQE. Many catalysts lying ahead of this company. Credits to @ShawarmaCapital
subs ------------------------ $AMPG, if it cant hold $8, expect $7.15. I will be buying the dip there.