memory
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memory activation
Tweet by @mkfilko
source tweet
status extracted
created 2026-06-15T13:40:50
actionability 62
market confirmation 42
source tier A
evidence tweet_only_unverified
@mkfilko / tier A
reliability 88
useful 0 / false+ 0
no source notes
AMPG -5.5% unknown
affected AMPG
themes equity markets
short_watch / generated
Wait for tape or stronger evidence confirmation.
created 2026-06-15T13:40:52
1 snapshots
AMPG 1h 0.0%
subs ------------------------ $AMPG, if it cant hold $8, expect $7.15. I will be buying the dip there.
The tweet forecasts a dip in AMPG if the price fails to hold at $8, contradicting the bullish thesis suggesting a continuous upward trajectory despite high volatility.# Memory Activation Report Card - Activation: f761617c-51ea-446b-88d7-e46c911d2167 - Relationship: contradicts - Market action: short_watch - Evidence status: tweet_only_unverified - Source: X / @mkfilko - Source type: tweet - Source tier: A - Affected tickers: AMPG - Actionability: 62/100 - Market confirmation: 42/100 ## Trigger subs ------------------------ $AMPG, if it cant hold $8, expect $7.15. I will be buying the dip there. ## Reasoning The tweet forecasts a dip in AMPG if the price fails to hold at $8, contradicting the bullish thesis suggesting a continuous upward trajectory despite high volatility. ## Claims - tweet_only: Tweet says: subs ------------------------ $AMPG, if it cant hold $8, expect $7.15. I will be buying the dip there. [99bcdaf4-4434-492b-bcc4-5d0488969ea6] ## Conditions - other: If the correction lasts between 4-8 weeks, then equities could see significant declines. [8d4508d8-ad98-4c8c-93c5-ccadf134729c] ## Theses - AI Boom and Economic Concerns [9f1bca0e-a5a0-40c0-b70d-734f18c4a11c] ## Gates - PASS related_not_actionable_blocked: Activation has a market action. - PASS tweet_only_allowed_but_labeled: Tweet-only evidence is allowed, but must remain labeled UNVERIFIED SOCIAL. - PASS low_source_tier_penalty: Source tier A does not block the signal. - FAIL market_confirmation_check: Market confirmation score is 42/100. - PASS stale_condition_penalty: No stale condition penalty applied. - PASS deterministic_telegram_generation: Telegram payload is generated from structured activation/signal data without an LLM call. ## Provider Usage - openai/gpt-4o-mini memory_cross_reference: allowed, est $0.000484 - local/deterministic tweet_extraction: skipped_low_relevance, est $0.000000 ## Signal And Telegram - Signal: short_watch / generated / e0071aec-1df8-4389-8bef-5571f854ce4f - Telegram: live / sent ## Outcomes And Feedback - Scheduled outcome jobs: 10 - Feedback records: 0 _Private raw text/json and secrets are not included._
| relationship | actionability | evidence | market | notes | created |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no feedback yet | |||||
| judgment | confidence | reviewer | notes | created |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no shadow payload review yet | ||||
| type | decision | rationale | created |
|---|---|---|---|
| no decision notes yet | |||
Tweet says: subs ------------------------ $AMPG, if it cant hold $8, expect $7.15. I will be buying the dip there.
If the correction lasts between 4-8 weeks, then equities could see significant declines.
Source tier A scored 88/100.
Memory relevance 80/100 from 1 matched conditions, 1 theses, and 1 claims.
Relationship confidence 40/100 for contradicts.
Tape status unknown scored 42/100.
No stale memory penalty.
activation_scoring / openai / succeeded
memory_cross_reference / openai / succeeded
tweet_claim_extraction / deterministic / skipped / skipped_low_relevance
no research tasks
| gate | passed | severity | score | reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| related_not_actionable_blocked | yes | info | 0 | Activation has a market action. |
| tweet_only_allowed_but_labeled | yes | warning | -5 | Tweet-only evidence is allowed, but must remain labeled UNVERIFIED SOCIAL. |
| low_source_tier_penalty | yes | info | 0 | Source tier A does not block the signal. |
| market_confirmation_check | no | warning | -5 | Market confirmation score is 42/100. |
| stale_condition_penalty | yes | info | 0 | No stale condition penalty applied. |
| deterministic_telegram_generation | yes | info | 0 | Telegram payload is generated from structured activation/signal data without an LLM call. |
| provider | model | task | gate | cache | cost | reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| openai | gpt-4o-mini | memory_cross_reference | allowed | miss | $0.000484 | Market memory memory_cross_reference for evidence 24ad6f2d-2d6d-4f56-94cb-e95d37428c19. |
| local | deterministic | tweet_extraction | skipped_low_relevance | bypassed | $0.000000 | Tweet did not pass source, ticker/theme, memory-match, or high-priority universe relevance gates. |
| ticker | price | day | premarket | 5D | 1M | rel vol | VWAP | tape | provider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMPG | 8.030 | -5.5% | unknown | unknown | unknown | 0.01x | below | unknown | alpaca |
| ticker | horizon | activation price | snapshot price | return | volume change | captured | notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMPG | 1h | 8.030 | 8.030 | 0.0% | unknown | 2026-06-15T13:40:52 | Initial outcome baseline captured at activation. Scheduled horizon recapture can overwrite this row. |
| ticker | horizon | scheduled | status | attempts | error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMPG | 1h | 2026-06-15T14:40:52 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| AMPG | 4h | 2026-06-15T17:40:52 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| AMPG | 1d | 2026-06-16T13:40:52 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| AMPG | 3d | 2026-06-18T13:40:52 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| AMPG | 5d | 2026-06-20T13:40:52 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| AMPG | 10d | 2026-06-25T13:40:52 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| AMPG | 1M | 2026-07-15T13:40:52 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| AMPG | 3M | 2026-09-13T13:40:52 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| AMPG | 6M | 2026-12-14T13:40:52 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| AMPG | 1Y | 2027-06-15T13:40:52 | queued | 0 | n/a |
PUBLIC UNAUTHENTICATED STREAM UNVERIFIED SOCIAL / TWEET-ONLY / NOT PRIMARY VERIFIED 🧠MEMORY UPDATE - CONTRADICTION Theme: equity markets Relationship: contradicts Source tier: A Actionability: 62/100 Prior condition: "If the correction lasts between 4-8 weeks, then equities could see significant declines." New trigger: subs ------------------------ $AMPG, if it cant hold $8, expect $7.15. I will be buying the dip there. Potential market implication: Potential increased volatility in equity markets. Affected: AMPG Tape: AMPG: -5.53%, relvol 0.01, unknown Repricing horizon: 1M: Short-term price pressures expected as market volatility may lead to further declines. Evidence status: UNVERIFIED SOCIAL / TWEET-ONLY / NOT PRIMARY VERIFIED Action: short_watch Confidence: Low Dashboard: https://consortium.capital/memory