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Live evidence, stored memory, and possible market implications.
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themes
Co-packaged optics, optical I/O, silicon photonics, packaging, and AI rack interconnect.
StatusactiveCPO / Optical I/O is active through optical component supply chain; current evidence remains distinct from verified thesis-changing production proof unless primary support appears.
Key memory: 1 condition / 1 thesis cell.CPO evidence type: optical component supply chainLatest trigger: optical component supplier discussion tied to the CPO watchlist.
Open full theme pageHBM, LPDDR, DRAM, accelerator-memory intensity, and AI memory supply chains.
StatusactiveHBM / AI Memory is active with 2 meaningful evidence items and 3 memory connections.
Key memory: 2 active HBM/memory conditions and 1 thesis cell.Latest trigger: CPO / Optical I/O involving MRVL, NBIS, CRWV, NVIDIA. matched stored memory
Open full theme pageAI switch ASICs, Ethernet fabrics, custom silicon, optical networking, and rack-scale network bottlenecks.
StatusactiveAI Networking / Switch ASICs is active with 6 meaningful evidence items and 0 memory connections.
Key memory: 1 condition / 1 thesis cell.Latest trigger: CPO / Optical I/O involving IQE, TSEM, LITE, MTSI. matched stored memory
Open full theme pageCoWoS, EMIB, substrates, interposers, chiplets, advanced packaging capacity, yield, and thermals.
StatusactiveCoWoS / Advanced Packaging is active through packaging or CPO-adjacent evidence; verify whether it is primary support or social-source only.
Key memory: 1 condition / 1 thesis cell.Latest trigger: CPO / Optical I/O involving IQE, TSEM, LITE, MTSI. matched stored memory
Open full theme pageAI compute infrastructure, accelerators, hyperscaler capex, custom silicon, and supply-chain constraints.
StatusquietAI Infrastructure is quiet in this window, but stored conditions/theses remain active.
Key memory: 1 condition / 1 thesis cell.No meaningful live trigger in this window.
Open full theme pagePower, cooling, grid, gas, nuclear, data-center capacity, and AI infrastructure buildout.
StatusquietAI Power / Data Centers is quiet in the current live window.
Key memory: no active condition or thesis attached yet.No meaningful live trigger in this window.
Open full theme pagePower, cooling, grid, gas, nuclear, data-center capacity, and AI infrastructure buildout.
StatusquietPower Semiconductors / SiC is quiet in the current live window.
Key memory: no active condition or thesis attached yet.No meaningful live trigger in this window.
Open full theme pageEnergy infrastructure, nuclear, gas, grid availability, and power scarcity for compute.
StatusquietEnergy / Nuclear / Gas is quiet in the current live window.
Key memory: no active condition or thesis attached yet.No meaningful live trigger in this window.
Open full theme pageAgent platforms, orchestration, inference software, developer tooling, and automation infrastructure.
StatusquietAgentic Software / Infrastructure is quiet in the current live window.
Key memory: no active condition or thesis attached yet.No meaningful live trigger in this window.
Open full theme pageevidence
To my fellow monkeys and subs Thank you for reading all my $IQE posts when I have pounded the table over and over again on the company, and gave you areas to add (in subs, I added myself too). This is a key part of my approach, finding companies and building that conviction, through intense research and valuation comparisons. After which I blend that with TA to build a solid overall case. I don’t claim to be the best at giving entries and honestly sometimes I’m too early. But trust me when I say that I have done m...
Shown because it matched stored memory$IQE & $TSEM enter a multi-year InP epiwafer supply agreement. Do you understand how f*cking huge this is for IQE? -> IQE is being designed into the pluggable wave + next-gen modulator/OCS roadmap. -> Confirms IQE as a qualified, non-Chinese InP epiwafer source. -> Diversifies IQE's optical customer base beyond $LITE / $MTSI to foundry in $TSEM. So multiple Tier-1 optical anchors. Quick fun fact: IQE sued Tower in 2022 for misappropriating trade secrets to obtain patents. So this Tower agreement lets IQE keep opti...
Shown because it matched stored memory@LIWEI_TWCapital Me vs the $SIVE investors
Shown because it matched stored memoryRT @hansolar21: Key events I’m watching into the end of June Mon–Wed: Sam Altman and Dario Amodei expected to join G7 AI discussions Tue–Wed: FOMC Tue–Thu: Jensen Huang speaking at GTC Paris Thu: Quad witching Fri: US Market holiday Next Mon: $MRVL joins S&P 500, $NBIS + $CRWV join Nasdaq-100 Next Wed: $Nvidia shareholder meeting Next week: Micron earnings Also watching the MSTR complex: $STRC’s last monthly dividend cycle hits this month, with semi-monthly dividends starting after June 30. Gonna be a choppy June ...
Shown because it matched stored memory@idunno2203 Patience 🧘 The same thing will happen for $EOS.AX eveuntually
Shown because it matched stored memoryRT @sephsephsephs: $BB Blackberry’s shareholder structure has changed a bit. Fairfax is no longer the largest shareholder. Welcome @landg_uk group! @fifthdelta going strong as well now third in shareholdings, practically 2nd because blackrock is mainly ETF holdings.
Shown because it matched stored memoryRT @OptimusDelta: @BussinBiotech flagged something important last month; the US Space Force commander publicly listed what's running out for the US space programme. Germanium and infrared sensors made the list. Going deeper on that thread because I think the $LPTH angle is bigger than it looks. The germanium problem Germanium is what goes inside infrared lenses; the things that let satellites, drones and targeting systems see heat. China controls roughly two-thirds of global supply and has been weaponising export ...
Shown because it matched stored memoryRT @solidintel_x: INTEL: IRAN TO ALLOW FREE HORMUZ TRANSIT FOR 60 DAYS UNDER PACT: ACCORDING TO FARS
Shown because it matched stored memoryRT @OptimusDelta: Some fun facts (plus a bit of dot joining and speculation) SpaceX Starlink has 10,000+ satellites in orbit. The vast majority (all satellites launched since 2021) have laser terminals to communicate directly with other satellites. That's well over 9,000 laser links already flying, adding thousands every year. Those terminals need precision lenses to focus the laser beam. $LPTH CEO @skrubin confirmed on earnings call Feb 2026 1. "We already have a strong business in free space optical communicatio...
Shown because it matched stored memory@NicoRicci01 Nothing? Just waiting for $SIVE general meeting to happen.
Shown because it matched stored memoryUr welcome with $IQE
Shown because it matched stored memoryArchive of all previous posts: $IQE vs $SIVE: ?s=46 $IQE vs $AXTI: ?s=46 Calling the bottom: ?s=46 First $IQE post: ?s=46
Shown because it matched stored memory@OptimusDelta Thanks so much bro! I got a lot of flak for switching out my $SIVE for $IQE. But I stuck to my conviction and didn’t waver, glad to see it play out finally
Shown because it matched stored memory@SushantJos39350 I thought so too. 🙈 $IQE is going to become the next cool kid on the block!
Shown because it matched stored memory@ashishj150992 It is listed as $IQEPY and $IQEPF on OTC US markets
Shown because it matched stored memoryWow, $IQE and $TSEM sign a multi year InP epiwafer deal. Remember I told you all IQE was important to Western optical supply chains back at $12? $MTSI had to go out of their way to secure their supply with IQE. Now there’s another critical deal with Tower Semi.
Shown because it matched stored memory@0xHunter_0x50 Intel?
Shown because it matched stored memorymemory
ideas
The new evidence is CPO-adjacent ecosystem or component chatter. It can matter for the CPO watchlist, but it does not yet prove a non-Intel true co-packaged optics platform that challenges the stored Intel-only thesis.
research
The trigger suggests potential implications for LightPath due to credible evidence that could challenge Intel's exclusivity in the co-packaged optics market, hence weakening support for Intel as the only winner in this space.
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setups
This tells you two possible realities: 1) Rubin (Ultra) ain’t coming out anytime soon. 2) No one saw this coming this fast and didn’t properly design their DC for it. My money is on #1. Feynman makes sense for 800V architecture. Not to shit on all the companies in the space I mean I own a few too but it’s a 2 year ramp minimum, even TI has hinted this by pointing out the need for more WFE capex in order to meet demand.
$NVDA and $GOOGL lead 800V DC ahead of schedule. "Ahead of schedule", pulled up to Q3 2026 with small volume shipments starting . - Delta Electronics (2308), $VRT - Song Chuan Precision (7788) - Schneider Electric, Eaton, Siemens. All flagged as beneficiaries. "Market sources indicate that Nvidia’s Vera Rubin platform and Google’s next-generation AI data centers will be the first to adopt the technology" Source: Commercial Times The power semi trade should be happy to hear this.
RT @hansolar21: Key events I’m watching into the end of June Mon–Wed: Sam Altman and Dario Amodei expected to join G7 AI discussions Tue–Wed: FOMC Tue–Thu: Jensen Huang speaking at GTC Paris Thu: Quad witching Fri: US Market holiday Next Mon: $MRVL joins S&P 500, $NBIS + $CRWV join Nasdaq-100 Next Wed: $Nvidia shareholder meeting Next week: Micron earnings Also watching the MSTR complex: $STRC’s last monthly dividend cycle hits this month, with semi-monthly dividends starting after June 30. Gonn
@Joseph363555684 No positions in $WOLF right now, but I’m cheering it on anyway since it’s a core part of American supply chains. Still think financials are a bit toxic, but maybe with more market support + subsidies it will go brrr
Yep, very stupid to be a bear in this market. When Trump is doing everything he can to boost market prices before Midterms. On top, your $WOLF power semi basket should go brrr from 800 VDC acceleration. $LITE optical basket should go brrr from InP easing. $SPCX successful IPO gives more appetite to risk on themes/IPOs (eg. Space sector). And overall macro go brr from War/Strait peace deals. It’s already kind of showing, since 2026 rate hike odds also crashed from 65% -> 35% following the news. A