memory
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memory activation
Tweet by @mkfilko
source tweet
status extracted
created 2026-06-15T09:26:46
actionability 57
market confirmation 20
source tier A
evidence tweet_only_unverified
@mkfilko / tier A
reliability 88
useful 0 / false+ 0
no source notes
EOS.AX unknown unknown
affected EOS.AX
themes market volatility
memory_activation / generated
Wait for tape or stronger evidence confirmation.
created 2026-06-15T09:26:47
1 snapshots
EOS.AX 1h unknown
@idunno2203 Patience š§ The same thing will happen for $EOS.AX eveuntually
The tweet indicates a belief in the eventual positive outcome for $EOS.AX, which aligns with the thesis that suggests ongoing strength in US equities despite short-term volatility.# Memory Activation Report Card - Activation: 8832bdec-4277-402a-b33a-4d9b4522cb0c - Relationship: supports - Market action: watch - Evidence status: tweet_only_unverified - Source: X / @mkfilko - Source type: tweet - Source tier: A - Affected tickers: EOS.AX - Actionability: 57/100 - Market confirmation: 20/100 ## Trigger @idunno2203 Patience š§ The same thing will happen for $EOS.AX eveuntually ## Reasoning The tweet indicates a belief in the eventual positive outcome for $EOS.AX, which aligns with the thesis that suggests ongoing strength in US equities despite short-term volatility. ## Claims - primary_verified: We remain medium-term bullish on the US economy and US equities. [8cfb1215-3314-4643-b131-d63591b9aec2] - primary_verified: The US stock market rally will continue but will experience heightened volatility over the next three months. [6399c3d3-850d-45f5-82ef-a7f4e5261348] ## Conditions - demand_intensity_risk: Market volatility increases during periods of significant macroeconomic change. [fa80c0f2-47d6-4868-b740-153d28ebed2d] - demand_intensity_risk: Continued labor market strength supports economic growth. [3e7f8dd1-60c1-4786-b638-23c4f5d705a9] ## Theses - Bullish Outlook on US Equities [d8b6f9d7-35a2-4b93-a2b2-cb4a3a00ba5a] - Last leg before a cyclical decline [58db76ed-e6e1-48dd-bf38-eb97e27494ca] ## Gates - PASS related_not_actionable_blocked: Activation has a market action. - PASS tweet_only_allowed_but_labeled: Tweet-only evidence is allowed, but must remain labeled UNVERIFIED SOCIAL. - PASS low_source_tier_penalty: Source tier A does not block the signal. - FAIL market_confirmation_check: Market confirmation score is 20/100. - PASS stale_condition_penalty: No stale condition penalty applied. - PASS deterministic_telegram_generation: Telegram payload is generated from structured activation/signal data without an LLM call. ## Provider Usage - openai/gpt-4o-mini memory_cross_reference: allowed, est $0.000483 - local/deterministic tweet_extraction: skipped_low_relevance, est $0.000000 ## Signal And Telegram - Signal: memory_activation / generated / 91a89190-5d8f-417c-9e0e-86e550ca600b - Telegram: live / sent ## Outcomes And Feedback - Scheduled outcome jobs: 10 - Feedback records: 0 _Private raw text/json and secrets are not included._
| relationship | actionability | evidence | market | notes | created |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no feedback yet | |||||
| judgment | confidence | reviewer | notes | created |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no shadow payload review yet | ||||
| type | decision | rationale | created |
|---|---|---|---|
| no decision notes yet | |||
We remain medium-term bullish on the US economy and US equities.
The US stock market rally will continue but will experience heightened volatility over the next three months.
Market volatility increases during periods of significant macroeconomic change.
Continued labor market strength supports economic growth.
Despite potential short-term volatility, the fundamentals suggest a continued positive trajectory for US equities driven by strong economic indicators.
This equity market rally is the last leg before a major cyclical decline.
Source tier A scored 88/100.
Memory relevance 80/100 from 2 matched conditions, 2 theses, and 2 claims.
Relationship confidence 40/100 for supports.
Tape status unknown scored 20/100.
No stale memory penalty.
activation_scoring / openai / succeeded
memory_cross_reference / openai / succeeded
tweet_claim_extraction / deterministic / skipped / skipped_low_relevance
no research tasks
| gate | passed | severity | score | reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| related_not_actionable_blocked | yes | info | 0 | Activation has a market action. |
| tweet_only_allowed_but_labeled | yes | warning | -5 | Tweet-only evidence is allowed, but must remain labeled UNVERIFIED SOCIAL. |
| low_source_tier_penalty | yes | info | 0 | Source tier A does not block the signal. |
| market_confirmation_check | no | warning | -5 | Market confirmation score is 20/100. |
| stale_condition_penalty | yes | info | 0 | No stale condition penalty applied. |
| deterministic_telegram_generation | yes | info | 0 | Telegram payload is generated from structured activation/signal data without an LLM call. |
| provider | model | task | gate | cache | cost | reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| openai | gpt-4o-mini | memory_cross_reference | allowed | miss | $0.000483 | Market memory memory_cross_reference for evidence 58c6f11d-db91-4378-8c5e-3d7eeadb2fa8. |
| local | deterministic | tweet_extraction | skipped_low_relevance | bypassed | $0.000000 | Tweet did not pass source, ticker/theme, memory-match, or high-priority universe relevance gates. |
| ticker | price | day | premarket | 5D | 1M | rel vol | VWAP | tape | provider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EOS.AX | unknown | unknown | unknown | unknown | unknown | unknown | unknown | unknown | alpaca |
| ticker | horizon | activation price | snapshot price | return | volume change | captured | notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EOS.AX | 1h | unknown | unknown | unknown | unknown | 2026-06-15T09:26:47 | Initial outcome baseline captured at activation. Scheduled horizon recapture can overwrite this row. |
| ticker | horizon | scheduled | status | attempts | error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EOS.AX | 1h | 2026-06-15T10:26:47 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| EOS.AX | 4h | 2026-06-15T13:26:47 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| EOS.AX | 1d | 2026-06-16T09:26:47 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| EOS.AX | 3d | 2026-06-18T09:26:47 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| EOS.AX | 5d | 2026-06-20T09:26:47 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| EOS.AX | 10d | 2026-06-25T09:26:47 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| EOS.AX | 1M | 2026-07-15T09:26:47 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| EOS.AX | 3M | 2026-09-13T09:26:47 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| EOS.AX | 6M | 2026-12-14T09:26:47 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| EOS.AX | 1Y | 2027-06-15T09:26:47 | queued | 0 | n/a |
PUBLIC UNAUTHENTICATED STREAM UNVERIFIED SOCIAL / TWEET-ONLY / NOT PRIMARY VERIFIED š§ MEMORY ACTIVATION - UNVERIFIED SOCIAL Theme: market volatility Relationship: supports Source tier: A Actionability: 57/100 Prior condition: "Market volatility increases during periods of significant macroeconomic change." New trigger: @idunno2203 Patience š§ The same thing will happen for $EOS.AX eveuntually Potential market implication: Potential for short-term losses in equity markets. Affected: EOS.AX Tape: EOS.AX: n/a, relvol n/a, unknown Repricing horizon: 1M: Market reactions can vary in shorter time frames based on external factors. Evidence status: UNVERIFIED SOCIAL / TWEET-ONLY / NOT PRIMARY VERIFIED Action: watch Confidence: Low Dashboard: https://consortium.capital/memory