Tweet by @mkfilkometadata_public
sourceX / @mkfilko
urln/a
published2026-06-15T13:48:01
raw textprivate, not exposed
memory
Searchable Memory
Loading latest cached market data.
memory
Loading latest cached market data.
memory activation
Tweet by @mkfilko
source tweet
status extracted
created 2026-06-15T13:48:37
actionability 66
market confirmation 42
source tier A
evidence tweet_only_unverified
@mkfilko / tier A
reliability 88
useful 0 / false+ 0
no source notes
BRUN +4.6% unknown
affected BRUN
themes equity markets
memory_activation / generated
Wait for tape or stronger evidence confirmation.
created 2026-06-15T13:48:38
1 snapshots
BRUN 1h 0.0%
subs $BRUN opened above 10EMA and came back to test 0.5 fib, i think it wants $35 imo.
The expectation of a correction lasting between 4-8 weeks may weaken the perceived strength of the current market rally stated in the tweet.# Memory Activation Report Card - Activation: e95b73ed-c3be-4f22-ad70-546d83fe3df5 - Relationship: weakens - Market action: watch - Evidence status: tweet_only_unverified - Source: X / @mkfilko - Source type: tweet - Source tier: A - Affected tickers: BRUN - Actionability: 66/100 - Market confirmation: 42/100 ## Trigger subs $BRUN opened above 10EMA and came back to test 0.5 fib, i think it wants $35 imo. ## Reasoning The expectation of a correction lasting between 4-8 weeks may weaken the perceived strength of the current market rally stated in the tweet. ## Claims - tweet_only: Tweet says: subs $BRUN opened above 10EMA and came back to test 0.5 fib, i think it wants $35 imo. [3d91484b-ac8f-4251-98e8-acad06b5e5c1] ## Conditions - other: If the correction lasts between 4-8 weeks, then equities could see significant declines. [8d4508d8-ad98-4c8c-93c5-ccadf134729c] ## Theses - Last leg before a cyclical decline [58db76ed-e6e1-48dd-bf38-eb97e27494ca] ## Gates - PASS related_not_actionable_blocked: Activation has a market action. - PASS tweet_only_allowed_but_labeled: Tweet-only evidence is allowed, but must remain labeled UNVERIFIED SOCIAL. - PASS low_source_tier_penalty: Source tier A does not block the signal. - FAIL market_confirmation_check: Market confirmation score is 42/100. - PASS stale_condition_penalty: No stale condition penalty applied. - PASS deterministic_telegram_generation: Telegram payload is generated from structured activation/signal data without an LLM call. ## Provider Usage - openai/gpt-4o-mini memory_cross_reference: allowed, est $0.000483 - local/deterministic tweet_extraction: skipped_low_relevance, est $0.000000 ## Signal And Telegram - Signal: memory_activation / generated / 82e75fc9-e649-4a33-ba6a-a1f932a1f7ce - Telegram: live / sent ## Outcomes And Feedback - Scheduled outcome jobs: 10 - Feedback records: 0 _Private raw text/json and secrets are not included._
| relationship | actionability | evidence | market | notes | created |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no feedback yet | |||||
| judgment | confidence | reviewer | notes | created |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no shadow payload review yet | ||||
| type | decision | rationale | created |
|---|---|---|---|
| no decision notes yet | |||
Tweet says: subs $BRUN opened above 10EMA and came back to test 0.5 fib, i think it wants $35 imo.
If the correction lasts between 4-8 weeks, then equities could see significant declines.
This equity market rally is the last leg before a major cyclical decline.
Source tier A scored 88/100.
Memory relevance 80/100 from 1 matched conditions, 1 theses, and 1 claims.
Relationship confidence 60/100 for weakens.
Tape status unknown scored 42/100.
No stale memory penalty.
activation_scoring / openai / succeeded
memory_cross_reference / openai / succeeded
tweet_claim_extraction / deterministic / skipped / skipped_low_relevance
no research tasks
| gate | passed | severity | score | reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| related_not_actionable_blocked | yes | info | 0 | Activation has a market action. |
| tweet_only_allowed_but_labeled | yes | warning | -5 | Tweet-only evidence is allowed, but must remain labeled UNVERIFIED SOCIAL. |
| low_source_tier_penalty | yes | info | 0 | Source tier A does not block the signal. |
| market_confirmation_check | no | warning | -5 | Market confirmation score is 42/100. |
| stale_condition_penalty | yes | info | 0 | No stale condition penalty applied. |
| deterministic_telegram_generation | yes | info | 0 | Telegram payload is generated from structured activation/signal data without an LLM call. |
| provider | model | task | gate | cache | cost | reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| openai | gpt-4o-mini | memory_cross_reference | allowed | miss | $0.000483 | Market memory memory_cross_reference for evidence be720147-5b25-409e-8988-c75575e00b1f. |
| local | deterministic | tweet_extraction | skipped_low_relevance | bypassed | $0.000000 | Tweet did not pass source, ticker/theme, memory-match, or high-priority universe relevance gates. |
| ticker | price | day | premarket | 5D | 1M | rel vol | VWAP | tape | provider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRUN | 32.270 | +4.6% | unknown | unknown | unknown | 0.03x | below | unknown | alpaca |
| ticker | horizon | activation price | snapshot price | return | volume change | captured | notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRUN | 1h | 32.270 | 32.270 | 0.0% | unknown | 2026-06-15T13:48:38 | Initial outcome baseline captured at activation. Scheduled horizon recapture can overwrite this row. |
| ticker | horizon | scheduled | status | attempts | error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRUN | 1h | 2026-06-15T14:48:38 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| BRUN | 4h | 2026-06-15T17:48:38 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| BRUN | 1d | 2026-06-16T13:48:38 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| BRUN | 3d | 2026-06-18T13:48:38 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| BRUN | 5d | 2026-06-20T13:48:38 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| BRUN | 10d | 2026-06-25T13:48:38 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| BRUN | 1M | 2026-07-15T13:48:38 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| BRUN | 3M | 2026-09-13T13:48:38 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| BRUN | 6M | 2026-12-14T13:48:38 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| BRUN | 1Y | 2027-06-15T13:48:38 | queued | 0 | n/a |
PUBLIC UNAUTHENTICATED STREAM UNVERIFIED SOCIAL / TWEET-ONLY / NOT PRIMARY VERIFIED 🧠MEMORY UPDATE - UNVERIFIED SOCIAL Theme: equity markets Relationship: weakens Source tier: A Actionability: 66/100 Prior condition: "If the correction lasts between 4-8 weeks, then equities could see significant declines." New trigger: subs $BRUN opened above 10EMA and came back to test 0.5 fib, i think it wants $35 imo. Potential market implication: Potential increased volatility in equity markets. Affected: BRUN Tape: BRUN: +4.57%, relvol 0.03, unknown Repricing horizon: 1M: Possible short-term declines due to anticipated correction. 3M: Potential volatility and mixed market signals over the next three months. Evidence status: UNVERIFIED SOCIAL / TWEET-ONLY / NOT PRIMARY VERIFIED Action: watch Confidence: Medium-low Dashboard: https://consortium.capital/memory