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memory activation
Tweet by @mkfilko
source tweet
status extracted
created 2026-06-15T23:21:23
actionability 62
market confirmation 42
source tier A
evidence tweet_only_unverified
@mkfilko / tier A
reliability 88
useful 0 / false+ 0
no source notes
BRUN +21.6% unknown / SILC +0.6% unknown
affected BRUN, SILC
themes equity markets
memory_activation / generated
Wait for tape or stronger evidence confirmation.
created 2026-06-15T23:21:24
2 snapshots
BRUN 1h 0.0% / SILC 1h 0.0%
I have had some people DM me asking me for what my sub looks like, just wanted to quickly share in case anyone else wonders what I do: For the most part, I give ad hoc chart analysis and try to push it out asap when I see a good set up. For e.g. today, Called $BRUN when it was around $31-32 and mentioned it wanted $35, it went to $37 Called $SILC when it looked like it was going to test $45 and the low of day was $45, printed a hammer candle I attached the sub post along with the actual chart so
The tweet suggests call outs for potential upward price movement in specific stocks. If corrections are expected, it may undermine the bullish sentiment provided by chart analysis.# Memory Activation Report Card - Activation: 6e1b89df-258b-4673-945e-007bdf572642 - Relationship: weakens - Market action: watch - Evidence status: tweet_only_unverified - Source: X / @mkfilko - Source type: tweet - Source tier: A - Affected tickers: BRUN, SILC - Actionability: 62/100 - Market confirmation: 42/100 ## Trigger I have had some people DM me asking me for what my sub looks like, just wanted to quickly share in case anyone else wonders what I do: For the most part, I give ad hoc chart analysis and try to push it out asap when I see a good set up. For e.g. today, Called $BRUN when it was around $31-32 and mentioned it wanted $35, it went to $37 Called $SILC when it looked like it was going to test $45 and the low of day was $45, printed a hammer candle I attached the sub post along with the actual chart so ## Reasoning The tweet suggests call outs for potential upward price movement in specific stocks. If corrections are expected, it may undermine the bullish sentiment provided by chart analysis. ## Claims - tweet_only: Tweet says: I have had some people DM me asking me for what my sub looks like, just wanted to quickly share in case anyone else wonders what I do: For the most part, I give ad hoc chart analysis and try to push it out asap when I see a good set up. For e.g. today, Called $BRUN when it was around $31-32 and mentioned it wanted $35, it went to $37 Called $SILC when it [ebac6403-a2a2-432f-ac31-12de04c9ac26] ## Conditions - other: If the correction lasts between 4-8 weeks, then equities could see significant declines. [8d4508d8-ad98-4c8c-93c5-ccadf134729c] ## Theses - Last leg before a cyclical decline [58db76ed-e6e1-48dd-bf38-eb97e27494ca] ## Gates - PASS related_not_actionable_blocked: Activation has a market action. - PASS tweet_only_allowed_but_labeled: Tweet-only evidence is allowed, but must remain labeled UNVERIFIED SOCIAL. - PASS low_source_tier_penalty: Source tier A does not block the signal. - FAIL market_confirmation_check: Market confirmation score is 42/100. - PASS stale_condition_penalty: No stale condition penalty applied. - PASS deterministic_telegram_generation: Telegram payload is generated from structured activation/signal data without an LLM call. ## Provider Usage - openai/gpt-4o-mini memory_cross_reference: allowed, est $0.000516 - local/deterministic tweet_extraction: skipped_low_relevance, est $0.000000 ## Signal And Telegram - Signal: memory_activation / generated / 2b686609-52ef-4c1c-bd4b-bba232172efb - Telegram: live / sent ## Outcomes And Feedback - Scheduled outcome jobs: 20 - Feedback records: 0 _Private raw text/json and secrets are not included._
| relationship | actionability | evidence | market | notes | created |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no feedback yet | |||||
| judgment | confidence | reviewer | notes | created |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no shadow payload review yet | ||||
| type | decision | rationale | created |
|---|---|---|---|
| no decision notes yet | |||
Tweet says: I have had some people DM me asking me for what my sub looks like, just wanted to quickly share in case anyone else wonders what I do: For the most part, I give ad hoc chart analysis and try to push it out asap when I see a good set up. For e.g. today, Called $BRUN when it was around $31-32 and mentioned it wanted $35, it went to $37 Called $SILC when it
If the correction lasts between 4-8 weeks, then equities could see significant declines.
This equity market rally is the last leg before a major cyclical decline.
Source tier A scored 88/100.
Memory relevance 80/100 from 1 matched conditions, 1 theses, and 1 claims.
Relationship confidence 40/100 for weakens.
Tape status unknown scored 42/100.
No stale memory penalty.
activation_scoring / openai / succeeded
memory_cross_reference / openai / succeeded
tweet_claim_extraction / deterministic / skipped / skipped_low_relevance
no research tasks
| gate | passed | severity | score | reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| related_not_actionable_blocked | yes | info | 0 | Activation has a market action. |
| tweet_only_allowed_but_labeled | yes | warning | -5 | Tweet-only evidence is allowed, but must remain labeled UNVERIFIED SOCIAL. |
| low_source_tier_penalty | yes | info | 0 | Source tier A does not block the signal. |
| market_confirmation_check | no | warning | -5 | Market confirmation score is 42/100. |
| stale_condition_penalty | yes | info | 0 | No stale condition penalty applied. |
| deterministic_telegram_generation | yes | info | 0 | Telegram payload is generated from structured activation/signal data without an LLM call. |
| provider | model | task | gate | cache | cost | reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| openai | gpt-4o-mini | memory_cross_reference | allowed | miss | $0.000516 | Market memory memory_cross_reference for evidence 0348b863-64ea-4ce7-869f-1a8868d4bd95. |
| local | deterministic | tweet_extraction | skipped_low_relevance | bypassed | $0.000000 | Tweet did not pass source, ticker/theme, memory-match, or high-priority universe relevance gates. |
| ticker | horizon | activation price | snapshot price | return | volume change | captured | notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRUN | 1h | 37.515 | 37.515 | 0.0% | unknown | 2026-06-15T23:21:24 | Initial outcome baseline captured at activation. Scheduled horizon recapture can overwrite this row. |
| SILC | 1h | 47.570 | 47.570 | 0.0% | unknown | 2026-06-15T23:21:24 | Initial outcome baseline captured at activation. Scheduled horizon recapture can overwrite this row. |
| ticker | horizon | scheduled | status | attempts | error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRUN | 1h | 2026-06-16T00:21:24 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| BRUN | 4h | 2026-06-16T03:21:24 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| BRUN | 1d | 2026-06-16T23:21:24 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| BRUN | 3d | 2026-06-18T23:21:24 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| BRUN | 5d | 2026-06-20T23:21:24 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| BRUN | 10d | 2026-06-25T23:21:24 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| BRUN | 1M | 2026-07-15T23:21:24 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| BRUN | 3M | 2026-09-13T23:21:24 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| BRUN | 6M | 2026-12-14T23:21:24 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| BRUN | 1Y | 2027-06-15T23:21:24 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| SILC | 1h | 2026-06-16T00:21:24 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| SILC | 4h | 2026-06-16T03:21:24 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| SILC | 1d | 2026-06-16T23:21:24 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| SILC | 3d | 2026-06-18T23:21:24 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| SILC | 5d | 2026-06-20T23:21:24 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| SILC | 10d | 2026-06-25T23:21:24 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| SILC | 1M | 2026-07-15T23:21:24 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| SILC | 3M | 2026-09-13T23:21:24 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| SILC | 6M | 2026-12-14T23:21:24 | queued | 0 | n/a |
| SILC | 1Y | 2027-06-15T23:21:24 | queued | 0 | n/a |
PUBLIC UNAUTHENTICATED STREAM UNVERIFIED SOCIAL / TWEET-ONLY / NOT PRIMARY VERIFIED 🧠MEMORY UPDATE - UNVERIFIED SOCIAL Theme: equity markets Relationship: weakens Source tier: A Actionability: 62/100 Prior condition: "If the correction lasts between 4-8 weeks, then equities could see significant declines." New trigger: I have had some people DM me asking me for what my sub looks like, just wanted to quickly share in case anyone else wonders what I do: For the most part, I give ad hoc chart analysis and try to push it out asap when I see a good set up. For e.g. today, Called $BRUN when it was around $31-32 and mentioned it wanted $35, it went to $37 Called $SILC when it looked like it was going to test $45 and the low of day was $45, printed a hammer candle I attached the sub post along with the actual chart so Potential market implication: Potential increased volatility in equity markets. Affected: BRUN, SILC Tape: BRUN: +21.57%, relvol 1.43, unknown; SILC: +0.55%, relvol 1.92, unknown Repricing horizon: 1M: Expect potential declines in equities if the predicted correction materializes and affects investor sentiment. Evidence status: UNVERIFIED SOCIAL / TWEET-ONLY / NOT PRIMARY VERIFIED Action: watch Confidence: Low Dashboard: https://consortium.capital/memory